An artificial intelligence (AI) model is projecting a chance for Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) stock to hit an all-time high of $250 following the company’s Q3 earnings, slated for November 3.
Notably, Palantir is heading into its Q3 2025 earnings with strong momentum, having surpassed $200 per share despite lingering questions about the stock’s valuation.
At the close of Friday’s session, PLTR shares were valued at $200.47, up over 3%, while year-to-date the stock is up 165%.
For Q3, Palantir is expected to report revenue of approximately $1.08 billion, reflecting roughly 50% year-over-year growth, with earnings per share projected at $0.17, up about 70% from the prior year.
This follows a strong Q2 performance, where the company exceeded the $1 billion revenue mark, supported by demand for its AI platforms and government contracts.
Investor focus will center on revenue growth in both commercial and government segments, particularly adoption of Palantir’s AI platform driving U.S. expansion, while international growth is expected to remain modest.
Analysts will also track customer metrics, contract values, and pipeline health, alongside margins and expenses, given the company’s heavy investments in product development and global expansion.
Odds of PLTR stock hitting $250
Regarding the chances of PLTR stock hitting $250 post-earnings, Finbold turned to OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which outlined several potential scenarios.
In a bullish scenario, a strong earnings beat paired with favorable guidance and continued enthusiasm around Palantir’s AI initiatives could drive the stock to between $240 and $260, giving roughly a 15% to 20% chance of hitting $250 in the near term.
In a base-case scenario, where the company meets guidance or posts a modest beat, the stock is more likely to trade in the $190 to $210 range, reflecting a moderate market reaction.
Conversely, if Palantir misses guidance or falls short of expectations, the stock could retreat to $170 and $195, highlighting the risks associated with its high valuation and reliance on government contracts.
Finally, a rare “wild card” scenario, such as securing a major new AI deal or strategic contract, could push the stock even higher, though such outcomes are unlikely within a single earnings event.
While the probability of a $250 spike is non-negligible, the stock’s trajectory will ultimately depend on the company’s ability to deliver on revenue, guidance, and AI-driven growth initiatives, as well as broader market sentiment in the weeks following the earnings announcement.
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