Prediction market traders are signaling that XRP could remain under pressure as of June 1, 2026, with most activity centered around lower price targets.
Notably, XRP has faced increased volatility in recent sessions, aligning with broader cryptocurrency market sentiment. By press time, XRP was trading at $1.36 after gaining more than 2% in the past 24 hours, while on the weekly timeframe, the asset has declined by over 4%.
Regarding the price outlook for June 1, the most heavily favored outcome on the Polymarket contract is XRP reaching $1.20 by June 1, with an implied probability of 12%, making it the leading prediction among listed targets.
Meanwhile, traders assigned a 4% probability to XRP reaching $1.60, while the chances of the token climbing to $1.80 stood at just 1%.
Higher bullish targets attracted almost no confidence from traders. Price levels including $2.00, $2.20, $2.40, $2.60, $2.80, and $3.00 all traded below a 1% implied probability, reflecting weak expectations for a major upside breakout in the near term.
On the downside, markets also showed limited expectations for a severe collapse. XRP falling to $1 carries a 2% probability, while deeper declines toward $0.80, $0.60, $0.40, and $0.20 all remain below 1%.
The prediction market generated more than $1.5 million in trading volume, highlighting significant trader interest in XRP’s short-term direction.
Among the most actively traded contracts were the $2 target with over $175,000 in volume, the $1.80 target with more than $213,000, and the $1.60 target with approximately $126,000 exchanged.
XRP’s weakening price
Indeed, the June outlook largely aligns with XRP’s recent price movement, where the asset has, for much of 2026, traded within a relatively narrow range between $1.30 and $1.50, remaining about 60% below its July 2025 peak despite improving fundamentals and growing institutional interest.
That institutional momentum has been supported by strong demand for spot XRP ETFs, which have attracted more than $1 billion in cumulative inflows since late 2025. April was the strongest month of 2026 so far, recording over $80 million in net inflows.
Near-term forecasts generally place XRP between $1.50 and $1.60, while broader 2026 projections range from around $2 in conservative scenarios to as high as $5 under more bullish conditions driven by ETF adoption and utility growth.
