Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) is set to release its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on January 20, with Wall Street expecting solid year-over-year growth in both revenue and profitability.
Consensus forecasts point to revenue of about $11.97 billion and earnings per share of roughly $0.55, reflecting a meaningful improvement from the same period last year. This comes as subscriber trends remain mixed, with softer growth in the U.S. offset by stronger international additions, while advertising revenue continues to scale but remains in the early stages of expansion.
Despite the anticipated earnings growth, market attention has been largely dominated by uncertainty surrounding Netflix’s proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Issues related to deal pricing, financing structure, and regulatory approvals have emerged as the main sources of volatility in the stock, at times outweighing the company’s underlying operating performance.
Meanwhile, NFLX stock has shown volatility in recent sessions, trading at $88 as of press time. Over the past year, the equity has rallied about 2.5%.
Based on these dynamics, Finbold turned to OpenAI’s ChatGPT for a price outlook on how Netflix stock might trade in the one to two weeks following the earnings report.
Netflix stock price prediction
In a bullish scenario, where Netflix beats revenue and earnings expectations, shows stabilization or upside in subscriber growth, and provides clearer or more reassuring commentary on the Warner Bros. deal, the stock could stage a sharp rebound. Under these conditions, ChatGPT estimates that Netflix shares could trade above $100, potentially reaching $115, as investors reassess risk and sentiment improves.
In a base-case scenario, where results largely meet expectations and management reiterates its existing stance on the Warner Bros. acquisition without offering significant new clarity, the stock reaction is expected to be more muted. ChatGPT projects a modest upside move, placing the shares in a $90 to $97 range, reflecting steady fundamentals but capped enthusiasm due to unresolved deal risks.
A more cautious outcome could emerge if Netflix misses earnings expectations, issues weak forward guidance, or signals increased uncertainty around the Warner Bros. transaction. In that case, ChatGPT anticipates a potential sell-off, with the stock retreating to a range between $75 and $82 as investor concerns intensify.
NFLX shares ideal post-earnings price
Weighing all factors, ChatGPT’s most likely forecast places Netflix stock in a near-term trading range of $90 to $102 after the Q4 earnings release.
This projection assumes a modest earnings beat but no breakthrough on the Warner Bros. acquisition, suggesting that while improving fundamentals could support the stock, deal-related risks are likely to remain a drag until greater clarity emerges.
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