Meme cryptocurrency Dogecoin (DOGE) is experiencing short-term bearish sentiment in line with the broader market. 

Despite this momentum, Finbold sought insights from OpenAI’s ChatGPT-5 model, which outlined several scenarios that could push Dogecoin to $1.

As of press time, DOGE was trading at $0.22, down over 1% in the past 24 hours and about 0.5% lower on the week.

DOGE’s path to $1

On the question of when Dogecoin might reach the coveted $1 milestone, ChatGPT-5 projects that the meme coin is unlikely to achieve that level before 2026.

At its current price of around $0.22, DOGE would need a 355% rally to hit $1. While such gains are not unprecedented, the token soared more than 65,000% during its 2020–2021 cycle; the present environment is far less favorable.

Inflation, tighter liquidity conditions, and competition from newer tokens like PEPE and WIF are expected to limit near-term upside. Even in a strong crypto rally fueled by the ongoing Bitcoin (BTC) halving cycle, ChatGPT-5 sees Dogecoin’s best-case scenario through 2025 as a climb toward $0.35 and $0.50.

DOGE’s realistic window to $1

The more realistic window for DOGE to test $1, according to the model, will come during the next major Bitcoin cycle peak projected for 2027 and 2028. Historically, the coin has needed speculative mania to exceed its fair value.

Potential catalysts such as Elon Musk integrating DOGE into X payments or the approval of a Dogecoin ETF could provide the speculative boost needed for a breakout during that period.

Beyond 2028, however, the outlook becomes more uncertain. With an inflationary supply of five billion new tokens issued annually, sustaining momentum at higher valuations will be difficult. Without a stronger utility beyond its meme status, Dogecoin risks being overshadowed by newer projects.

In summary, ChatGPT-5 stressed that Dogecoin is unlikely to hit $1 before 2026, with the most realistic chance falling in the 2027 and 2028 window. Failure to capitalize on that cycle could mean the milestone never materializes.

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