Ripple is set to unlock 1 billion XRP on August 1 as part of its monthly escrow release program, marking the company’s eighth scheduled token unlock of 2026.
Ahead of the event, Finbold consulted ChatGPT to assess the potential impact on XRP and generate an XRP price prediction based on current market conditions.
With XRP trading at $1.11 at the time of analysis, ChatGPT projected that the cryptocurrency could reach $1.18 following the August unlock, representing a gain of about 7% from current levels.
The August release follows seven previous escrow unlocks this year, each involving 1 billion XRP.
While the headline figure appears significant, Ripple has historically returned a substantial portion of unlocked tokens into escrow, limiting the amount that ultimately enters circulation.
As a result, ChatGPT’s analysis suggests the market has largely priced in the monthly releases, reducing the likelihood of a major supply-driven sell-off after the August event.
The model noted that XRP’s price performance has historically been influenced more by broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, regulatory developments, institutional demand, and investment product flows than by the recurring escrow releases themselves.
XRP price prediction
Based on current market conditions, ChatGPT expects XRP to trade within a range of $1.14 to $1.22 in the period following the August unlock, with $1.18 emerging as the most likely outcome.
The forecast assumes stable conditions across the broader crypto market and continued investor recognition that Ripple’s monthly escrow releases do not necessarily increase circulating supply by the full amount unlocked.
In a bearish scenario, XRP could fall to the $0.98–$1.05 range if the crypto market weakens or investors react negatively to the unlock.
Conversely, stronger market momentum, favorable regulation, or renewed institutional demand could lift the token to $1.25–$1.35.
Overall, Ripple’s escrow program remains one of the most closely watched supply events in crypto due to the large volume of tokens involved.
However, years of monthly releases have made the process highly predictable, reducing its market impact.
