While the shares of Trump Media & Technology Group (NASDAQ: DJT) have lost much of their luster since the 2024 Presidential election and possibly entered terminal decline earlier in 2026 by crashing below the $10 threshold, DJT retains the potential for a brief but powerful rally.
Specifically, between its middling quarterly filings and links with the incumbent U.S. commander-in-chief, the company has arguably become the most prominent political meme stock in the market.
Such a view of the equity was reinforced in 2024 as the DJT share price tracked Donald Trump’s odds of victory against Kamala Harris, and in the summer of 2025, when the presidential firm rallied around July 4.
With Independence Day 2026 fast approaching and Trump Media showing it has the potential to rally already, as recently as December, Finbold consulted ChatGPT’s advanced artificial intelligence (AI) on whether making a bet on a celebratory upsurge has any legs to stand on.
ChatGPT estimates the likelihood of a July 4 Trump stock rally
After analyzing DJT shares and concluding that the most recent earnings report – the one that recorded losses greater than $400 million and revenue smaller than $1 million – the AI model dismissed the odds of a rally based on fundamentals.
Indeed, ChatGPT even estimated that a fair Trump Media stock price might be as low as $5 if not lower – 45% below the press time price of $8.97 – it swiftly pivoted to explain that it remains a potentially lucrative sentiment play.
Specifically, OpenAI’s flagship product estimated that the downward momentum driving the equity since January 2 could exhaust itself later this summer, just as July 4 prompts President Trump to ‘re-enter the media cycle heavily’ with topics less grim than the dominant narratives of early 2026.
Lastly, the AI estimated that, between the holiday and the 2025 summer DJT stock rally, retail investors might move into position for a short-term play centered on the highly symbolic date.
Therefore, ChatGPT settled for a surprisingly optimistic possible July 4, 2026, price target for Trump Media shares: $11.40, implying a 27.09% rally from the May 29, press time price of $8.97.
Unprompted, the large language model (LLM) also offered a quote to summarize its thesis:
ChatGPT expects DJT to rebound to $11.40 by July 4, 2026, not because the fundamentals improved dramatically, but because Trump Media increasingly trades as a political-meme-crypto sentiment vehicle rather than a conventional media stock.
Lastly, it is worth noting that ChatGPT emphasized that, while it sees a July 4 Trump Media stock rally as plausible, it does not foresee it as altering the company fundamentals, nor leading to reliably elevated prices.
Featured image via Shutterstock
