Prediction markets on Polymarket, a cryptocurrency-based platform where users bet on future events using digital assets, indicate a strong consensus that XRP will trade around $2.90 by the end of September 2025.
According to data retrieved on September 9, there is an 88% chance that XRP will reach or exceed $2.90, making it the most likely outcome amid ongoing market consolidation.
On the other hand, the platform shows a 100% probability for a $3 price target, marked “In Review,” suggesting a potential anomaly or pending update.
Notably, Polymarket’s interface lists price bins ranging from $0.00 to $6.00, with associated yes/no share prices and implied probabilities.
To this end, the strongest cluster centers around the $2.90 level, where yes-shares trade at roughly 88 cents, implying an 88% likelihood.
Lower thresholds, such as $2 with only a 1% probability, reflect little concern about a steep decline, while higher targets like $4 carry just an 11% chance, indicating expectations of range-bound trading rather than a major breakout.
XRP price analysis
The prediction comes as XRP sustains short-term bullish momentum, having reclaimed the $3 level. As of press time, the asset was trading at $3.03, up nearly 4% in the past 24 hours and more than 7% on the weekly timeframe.
While XRP is moving in line with broader market trends, the anticipation of a potential spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval remains a key driver for future price action. The market expects a decision in October 2025.
Major players, including Grayscale and Franklin Templeton, have filed for spot XRP ETFs, positioning themselves to capture institutional demand once approval is granted.
Notably, prediction markets on Polymarket currently assign odds of over 90% that the SEC will approve an XRP ETF.
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