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Current inflation won’t impact real estate like 2008, says asset manager president

Current inflation won't impact real estate like 2008, says asset manager president

Briton Hill, president of asset management firm Weber Global Management, has said the rising inflation and, consequently, the high-interest rates would not significantly impact the real estate sector.

Speaking to Kitco news, Hill noted that investors intending to put their money in real estate should proceed but cautiously. According to Hill, the high-interest rates arising from an inflationary environment will unlikely lead to the financial crisis experienced in 2008.

He stated that the variable interest rate was responsible in 2008, an aspect that does not exist at the moment. However, Hill warned that there is a possibility of the real estate sector correcting. 

“I don’t think we’ll see a 2008-type correction in real estate. Mostly, that’s because one of the big contributing factors back then was the variable interest rates. Since then, variable interest rates aren’t as prevalent. You don’t see that as often, but there still is the risk that you could have a real estate pullback, and mostly it would be attributed to interest rates rising rapidly,” Hill said.

Possible stock market crash

On the speculated crash of the general stock market, Hill indicated that several Federal Reserve policies would avert any correction but acknowledged some risks still exist. Hill stated that with the Fed continuing to pump more money into the economy and buying up assets, there is no need to experience a market crash.

However, Hill believes that the rising inflation still poses a significant risk to the stock market. 

He offered a scenario where the inflation rates are higher than the rate investors are supposed to make money. Hill notes that such an inflation environment would slow growth, and investors won’t be making money. 

On how young investors can get into different sectors, Hill stated that the focus should be on paying off debts and being defensive in selecting portfolios. According to Hill, the current investment environment is new for young investors, and they will need to consider economic factors at play before putting their money in different sectors. 

Gold and Bitcoin as an inflation hedge 

Furthermore, Hill maintained that gold remains the undisputed hedge against inflation because it has been time tasted. Notably, amid the surging inflation, gold prices are also increasing. 

He, however, stated that cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum have the traits of emerging as an inflation hedge, but time will tell. He cautioned that the high volatility associated with cryptocurrencies is the main undoing of the sector. Despite the drawbacks, Hill believes that cryptocurrencies are here to stay. 

Related video: Will rising interest rates crash the housing market? Briton Hill


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