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DOGE would trade at this price if it hits its all-time high market cap

DOGE would trade at this price if it hits its all-time high market cap

Dogecoin (DOGE) reached its all-time high price of $0.73 on May 8, 2021, with a market cap peaking at $88.8 billion. 

The milestone was fueled by massive retail enthusiasm, social media hype, and celebrity endorsements. Fast forward to January 2025, and Dogecoin trades at $0.3532 with a market cap of $52.15 billion—a far cry from its former glory. 

But can DOGE ever hit its previous peak again?

Inflationary nature of Dogecoin

Dogecoin’s tokenomics play a significant role in shaping its price potential. Unlike Bitcoin (BTC), which has a capped supply, Dogecoin issues 5 billion DOGE per year as part of its Proof-of-Work (PoW) model. 

This fixed annual issuance means that while the percentage rate of inflation declines over time as the total supply grows, the absolute increase in tokens remains constant. As of January 15, 2025, the total circulating supply stands at 147.63 billion DOGE.

Essentially the consistent supply growth means that for Dogecoin to return to its previous all-time high price of $0.73, its market cap would need to reach approximately $88.8 billion once again. However, with the current circulating supply, this would require each DOGE coin to trade at $0.6015—approximately 17.6% lower than its previous peak price.

DOGE all-time market cap. Source: CoinMarketCap

Why DOGE inflation matters

Dogecoin’s annual issuance adds a significant supply of new coins to the market, requiring a continuous influx of capital to sustain price levels. In 2021, DOGE benefited from a unique combination of factors: speculative frenzy, the rise of meme culture, and widespread adoption driven by social media. 

Without similar conditions or a substantial increase in its utility, Dogecoin’s inflationary model could act as a drag on price appreciation.

For instance, while Bitcoin’s capped supply creates scarcity over time, Dogecoin’s inflationary supply model means that its value proposition relies on consistent demand to offset the supply increase. This could explain why, despite a strong community, DOGE’s price has struggled to maintain upward momentum compared to its performance during the 2021 bull run.

DOGE market cap

As of today, Dogecoin’s market cap stands at $52.15 billion—nearly $36.65 billion short of its previous all-time high. 

The coin’s price of $0.3532 reflects a mixed sentiment in the market. While the inflation rate has declined as a percentage, the annual addition of 5 billion DOGE means that more coins must be absorbed by the market every year. If demand fails to match this increase, price stagnation—or even decline—is likely.

At a current price of $0.3532, Dogecoin would need to attract an additional $36.65 billion in market cap to reclaim its peak. Without strong demand drivers or a new wave of retail enthusiasm, this remains a tall order.

Feaured image via Shutterstock

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