Investors looking for the best time to buy SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) stock may benefit from waiting for additional weakness following the company’s first earnings report as a public company, according to an analysis by ChatGPT.
While SpaceX remains one of the market’s most closely watched growth stocks, the AI model suggested the most attractive entry point could emerge between August and October 2026 rather than immediately.
The assessment comes as SpaceX shares remain under pressure following their June 2026 IPO, despite continued progress across Starship, Starlink, and launch operations. As of press time, SPCX shares were valued at $115, dropping over 30% since its debut.
ChatGPT identified SpaceX’s first public earnings report, scheduled for August 4, as the most likely catalyst for a better entry point.
Expectations remain high after the company’s blockbuster debut, leaving little room for disappointment.
If SpaceX reports larger-than-expected losses, lowers guidance, increases spending on Starship and satellite infrastructure, or delays commercialization targets, the stock could face another round of selling.
Under that scenario, investors may find a more attractive risk-reward setup than buying ahead of earnings.
When to buy SpaceX stock
Based on current market conditions, ChatGPT considers SpaceX stock most attractive between $110 and $125 per share, with the $90 to $110 range offering an even stronger accumulation opportunity if fundamentals remain intact.
Conversely, the model believes shares above $140 still reflect significant optimism around Starship, Starlink, and future growth. These are valuation-based entry zones, not price forecasts.
However, ChatGPT noted that investors may consider buying sooner if three developments occur: another successful Starship test flight, continued growth in Starlink subscribers and revenue, and signs that the stock can stabilize after earnings rather than extend its recent decline.
The model also highlighted post-IPO share dynamics as a potential source of volatility. SpaceX’s relatively small public float has contributed to sharp price swings since listing.
SpaceX fundamentals
As more shares become available for trading, additional selling from employees and early investors could weigh on the stock.
Historically, similar post-IPO periods have created buying opportunities when business fundamentals remained strong.
Meanwhile, valuation remains the key debate among investors. SpaceX’s estimated valuation climbed from about $350 billion in late 2024 to more than $800 billion by the end of 2025 before reaching roughly $1.75 trillion at its IPO.
That rapid rise has shifted the investment question from whether SpaceX can grow to whether it can grow fast enough to justify its premium valuation.
Despite its near-term caution, ChatGPT remains bullish on SpaceX’s long-term prospects. The model views the company as a combination of a dominant launch provider, a fast-growing satellite communications network through Starlink, and a potential AI and space infrastructure platform.
If Starship achieves full reusability and Starlink continues expanding globally, SpaceX could remain one of the fastest-growing large-cap companies in the market.
