Summary:
⚈ Post-launch, stock may rise to $493.19 by mid-2027 with similar momentum
⚈ Retail investor influence may amplify price swings around GTA 6 release
Take-Two Interactive (NASDAQ: TTWO) stock’s 2.89% climb on May 6 session and 1.78% May 7 pre-market rally on the release of the Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) trailer 2 demonstrated the video game’s potential to serve as a powerful bullish catalyst even after Rockstar announcing another delay recently.
Under the circumstances and given TTWO shares’ performance following the release of the previous installments in the franchise, it appears more than likely that the publisher’s equity will rise significantly in the lead-up to GTA 6 and upon its release.
In September 2012, one year before the release of GTA 5, Take-Two Interactive stock was changing hands at approximately $11, while on September 17, 2013, the day the game came out, it closed at $17.
Should an equivalent 54.55% rally take place, TTWO could rise to $364.68 by May 26, 2026, the day GTA 6 is set to release following the latest delay, as it is trading at $235.96 at press time in the May 7 pre-market.
GTA 6 stock price prediction after
Movements following GTA 5’s release also point toward strong stock market performance for the publisher. By October 17, 2013, TTWO stock was trading at $17.15, and on September 17, 2014—exactly one year later—it stood 35.24% higher at $22.99.
If GTA 6 leads to similar outcomes, Take-Two Interactive shares will likely climb to $367.89 by late June 2026 and $493.19 by the early summer of 2027.
TTWO stock’s performance around GTA 4’s release also positions the franchise as a bullish catalyst. However, the specific circumstances of the video game’s publishing – the Great Recession – make drawing exact parallels more difficult.
Take-Two enjoyed a massive rally in the year before Grand Theft Auto 4, but it collapsed along with the rest of the economy in the subsequent 12 months.
Should I invest in Take-Two Interactive before GTA 6?
One big potential difference for GTA 6 could arise from the rise of retail investors. Their prevalence in the stock market following the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to lead to greater volatility, which could magnify Take-Two Interactive stock’s movements when the video game is released.
Retail influence could be especially important should the developer, Rockstar Games, or the publisher’s fundamental financials show weakness. Several recent reports indicate that most so-called AAA titles might no longer be financially viable.
On the flip side, there is always a chance GTA 6 will not be as well-received as its predecessors, in which case, retail investors could trigger major selling pressure. Such an eventuality is, however, unlikely due to Rockstar’s track record and rock star reputation in the industry.
Featured image via Shutterstock
