Technical indicators suggest that Bitcoin (BTC) could potentially surpass $140,000 before the end of 2025 despite the ongoing consolidation phase.
This projection is based on an outlook by prominent online cryptocurrency analyst TradingShot, who, in a TradingView post on September 30, highlighted the asset’s 20-period moving average (1W MA20) as the key guide to this target.
According to the expert’s observation, this indicator has historically guided Bitcoin’s bullish continuation and is currently defining momentum.
Since April 2025, Bitcoin has sustained its uptrend each time weekly candles closed above the 1W MA20. In the rare cases when price action slipped below this threshold, most notably in June 2023, the decline continued until it tested or approached the 1W MA50, the longer-term blue trendline.
Recent market action has reinforced the importance of this level. For the third time since August 25, Bitcoin closed the week above the 1W MA20, cementing its role as support. This confirmation strengthens the case for higher prices as long as the level continues to hold.
Historically, when Bitcoin has bounced from this structure, rallies have exceeded 90%. Even the weakest advance of the current cycle reached 96.38%. A similar move from the present setup projects an upside target of around $145,000 by December.
Bitcoin price analysis
At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $113,000, having corrected slightly by 0.7% in the past 24 hours, while gaining nearly 3% over the past week.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading just below its 50-day SMA of $113,849, while maintaining a strong lead over the 200-day SMA of $104,380.
This setup reflects a healthy longer-term uptrend, as the price remains well above its 200-day average, a key indicator of sustained bullish momentum.
However, trading slightly under the 50-day SMA suggests short-term consolidation rather than immediate breakout strength.
Meanwhile, the 14-day RSI at 52.51 signals a neutral stance, neither overbought nor oversold, indicating balanced momentum.
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