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Will Dell’s stock price go up after earnings? Here’s what history tells us 

Diana Paluteder

Dell Technologies (NYSE: DELL) reports its quarterly earnings after the market closes today, May 29, 2025. Based on options pricing, traders are anticipating a move of approximately 9% in either direction. 

The stock has climbed more than 21% over the past month. As of the market open, Dell was trading at $114.30, up 0.47% from the previous close.

Looking back at Dell’s post-earnings reactions

Analysts anticipate the company will post revenue of $23.1 billion and adjusted earnings of $1.70 per share for the quarter.

The company has a solid record when it comes to earnings. According to Zacks, Dell has topped consensus EPS estimates in each of the last 12 quarters. EPS, or earnings per share, is a common measure of profitability. An “EPS surprise” happens when actual results come in higher or lower than expected.

Dell stock price and EPS surprise. Source: Zacks.com

That said, beating expectations doesn’t always mean the stock will rise. Here’s a look at how Dell’s shares have reacted the day after earnings over the past two years:

Earnings date Fiscal quarter Next-day stock price change (% at close)
May 30, 2023 Q1 FY2024 -1.8%
Aug 31, 2023 Q2 FY2024 +5.5%
Nov 30, 2023 Q3 FY2024 -2.3%
Feb 29, 2024 Q4 FY2024 +3.7%
May 30, 2024 Q1 FY2025 -1.2%
Aug 29, 2024 Q2 FY2025 +4.1%
Nov 28, 2024 Q3 FY2025 -3.5%
Feb 27, 2025 Q4 FY2025 -7.0%
May 29, 2025 Q1 FY2026 TBD

As the table shows, a positive EPS surprise doesn’t always translate into a next-day stock price jump, especially if guidance is soft or broader sentiment is shaky. In fact, looking at the past eight quarters, Dell’s stock has fallen the day after earnings 62.5% of the time, rising only in three of those instances. That track record suggests investors tend to react cautiously, even when the company beats expectations.

Disclaimer: The content on this site should not be considered investment advice. Investing is speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.

Featured image via Shutterstock.

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