XRP’s weighted sentiment is plummeting, but historical patterns actually suggest the setup could be followed by a new bull run.
According to market data revealed by Santiment Intelligence on June 12, the metric has hit the lowest levels since October 2025 as traders grow increasingly frustrated with the asset’s underperformance and absence of major catalysts.
For context, weighted sentiment combines social media discussion volume with the ratio of positive and negative commentary. Having ‘quietly fallen off a cliff,’ the metric suggests that discussion around the token has dried up, with negative commentary becoming dominant.
Historically, however, this exact setup has preceded some of XRP’s strongest rebounds. As the Santiment analysis reminds, muted discussion coupled with overwhelmingly bearish sentiment can thus be interpreted as a contrarian indicator.
Moreover, activity within the XRP ecosystem also marches on, as development on the XRP Ledger, tokenization initiatives, and institutional-focused products have all continued progressing, even as enthusiasm across social media platforms wanes.
XRP price action
Despite the weak social sentiment, XRP saw a 2.9% price uptick at the time of writing, June 12, trading at $1.15. However, the increase appears to be largely tied to broader cryptocurrency market movements, not token-specific developments.
Notably, the overall cryptocurrency market capitalization rose 0.64%, while Bitcoin (BTC) gained 0.79%, suggesting XRP benefited from a wider risk-on move across digital assets. At the same time, though, trading volume fell 15%, indicating relatively weak conviction behind the move.
Ultimately, while the data may be signaling a potential longer-term opportunity for contrarian investors, near-term market conditions remain challenging. For instance, the Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 17, a level classified as ‘Extreme Fear.’
Currently, XRP traders are watching support around $1.12 and resistance in the $1.18–$1.2 range. A decisive breakout above the upper end, accompanied by rising trading volume, could strengthen the bullish case.
Another positive signal has emerged on the three-day chart, where theTom DeMark Sequential indicator has printed a buy signal, according to a post by crypto analyst Ali Martinez. Historically, Martinez noted, a signal of this nature comes just before ‘brief one-to-four candlestick rebounds,’ which could provide at least a short-term relief.
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