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2 oil stocks to buy this week amid U.S. – Iran war

2 oil stocks to buy this week amid U.S. - Iran war
Paul L.
Stocks

The escalating U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict intensified over the weekend, a situation that could offer opportunities for investors.

One sector likely to be hit hardest is oil, given the region’s critical role in global supply.

The conflict has involved coordinated strikes targeting Iranian leadership and infrastructure, including the confirmed death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. 

Iran has retaliated against regional targets, raising fears of prolonged disruptions to global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, which handles about one-fifth of the world’s seaborne crude.

This comes as brent crude closed the week near seven-month highs around $73 per barrel, up roughly 16% year to date. Analysts forecast potential increases of $10 to $20 or more per barrel if tensions persist without rapid de-escalation. 

In this environment of heightened geopolitical risk and supply uncertainty, major integrated oil companies with strong upstream production stand to benefit from elevated crude prices and stronger cash flows. Below are two stocks worth considering this week.

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) 

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) emerges as a compelling pick for investors seeking exposure to the current crisis. 

The company maintains a diversified global portfolio, including significant low-cost assets in the Permian Basin and international operations that position it to capture higher revenues as oil prices rise.

With a market capitalization exceeding $370 billion, a forward price-to-earnings ratio in the low teens, and a dividend yield around 4%, Chevron offers an attractive valuation relative to peers, alongside a track record of disciplined capital spending and shareholder returns.

The conflict’s impact on Iranian output and potential chokepoint restrictions directly amplifies upstream profitability, as every sustained increase in Brent prices adds billions to annual earnings. 

At the same time, Chevron’s resilient balance sheet and focus on efficient production provide a buffer against short-term volatility, making it well-suited for near-term gains amid the war-driven risk premium in energy markets.

At press time, CVX stock was trading at $186, up about 20% year-to-date.

CVX YTD stock price chart. Source: Finbold

Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) 

Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) represents another strong candidate, benefiting from its scale as the largest U.S. oil major and extensive upstream exposure. 

The company’s operations span major developments in Guyana and the Permian Basin, delivering over 4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day.

Trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of around 11, with a dividend yield near 3.5% and ongoing share buybacks, Exxon Mobil combines value with robust cash generation potential.

Escalation risks could constrain non-U.S. supplies, boosting the company’s production-heavy model and amplifying profits. Estimates indicate that a $10 per barrel increase in oil prices can add billions to annual earnings.

Exxon’s low-cost assets and emphasis on shareholder returns position it to outperform in a scenario of sustained higher crude prices triggered by Middle East disruptions.

At the close of the last market session, XOM stock was trading at $152, having gained nearly 25%.

XOM YTD stock price chart. Source: Finbold

Both stocks reflect a broader rotation into energy during the crisis, as integrated majors benefit directly from rising commodity prices without heavy reliance on speculative factors.

Although the situation remains fluid and any de-escalation could limit gains, the near-term outlook favors these names as investors navigate the economic fallout from the U.S.–Iran war.

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