In early Q2 2024, Hedera (HBAR) saw prices shoot up from $0.08853 to $0.15649 on account of positive developments surrounding the token’s role in real-world tokenization (RWA).
BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) announced in late April that it had tokenized one of its U.S. Treasury money market funds on Hedera’s network.
This 76.76% surge didn’t last — by the end of April, the price of HBAR had receded to $0.009358. After that, it entered an extended downtrend, which lasted until early November, when the wider cryptocurrency market entered a bull run.
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Since then, the price of Hedera has risen to $0.27880 — year-to-date (YTD) returns stand at 226.62%, although the digital asset is still trading some 24.52% lower compared to its yearly high of $0.36939
At present, Hedera is the 17th largest cryptocurrency in the world, with a market capitalization of roughly $10.71 billion. It’s a promising, affordable token — so Finbold has decided to consult one of the most advanced publicly available AI models to determine what Hedera’s price will be in 2025.
AI highlights bullish and bearish factors affecting HBAR
For additional context, OpenAI’s ChatGPT-4o model was first asked to provide a list of the most relevant factors, both bullish and bearish, at play with HBAR. It outlined four factors on either side.
Hedera’s numerous partnerships with leading corporations were singled out as a strong bullish signal, suggesting that it has already become a preferred blockchain solution for businesses on account of its enterprise-grade governance model. The AI model also singled out Hedera’s high transaction speeds of up to 10,000 TPS, which require minimal energy consumption as a potent draw for new clients.
Lastly, ChatGPT cited an ever-increasing list of use cases spanning everything from supply chain management to telecommunications and finance — a fact that provides Hedera with a rather large total addressable market (TAM).
On the bearish side of the aisle, the first factor that was listed was the intense competition present, stemming from robust Layer-1 alternatives such as Solana (SOL) and Avalanche (AVAX). After that, the AI noted that overreliance on enterprise growth and shifting macroeconomic factors could also serve to curtail future growth.
Finally, OpenAI’s flagship model pointed out that, as effective as Hedera’s governance model has been in terms of compliance, perceived centralization could serve to deter retail and decentralization-focused developers.
AI sets Hedera price forecast for 2025
Once all was said and done, ChatGPT-4o set three price targets — reflecting a bullish, bearish, and mixed scenario in 2025. If the positive catalysts prove to be dominant, the AI model sees a range of $0.50 to $0.75 as a reasonable price target for 2025.
In contrast, if the digital asset sees adoption slow down and unfavorable macroeconomic trends take hold, OpenAI’s model expects to see the price of HBAR drop to between $0.20 and $0.15.
A mixed scenario where a balance of both bullish and bearish factors plays out, however, would most likely bring about moderate growth, with prices reaching levels between $0.35 and $0.40, per the AI model.
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