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Bitcoin shatters halving theory; This is when BTC will peak

Bitcoin shatters halving theory; This is when BTC will peak

Bitcoin (BTC) is maintaining its position above the $65,000 support zone as the maiden cryptocurrency continues to navigate the post-halving landscape.

In this regard, there is anticipation about Bitcoin’s future trajectory, especially considering the digital asset’s overall bullish trend leading up to the halving event.

In this context, an analysis by CryptoCon shared on X (formerly Twitter) on April 21 suggested that the conventional halving cycles theory may require reassessment based on Bitcoin’s price behavior surrounding the 2024 event.

The analysis acknowledged the traditional belief that the inaugural halving in 2012 held the utmost significance. Subsequently, Bitcoin adhered to a pattern centered around this pivotal date. 

However, the most recent halving date presents a departure from this expected trajectory, as it represents the first instance of Bitcoin’s price reaching all-time highs before the halving event. According to CryptoCon’s analysis, Bitcoin’s current record highs indicate a divergence from the anticipated pattern.

Bitcoin price analysis chart. Source: TradingView/CryptoCon

When will Bitcoin peak? 

Initially, prevailing sentiment held that the halving would precipitate a period of consolidation preceding a substantial upward rally toward the cycle peak projected for 2025. Yet, the market expert observed that with Bitcoin already attaining new highs, speculation arises regarding the potential acceleration of the cycle, potentially culminating in a cycle peak by the conclusion of 2024.

“What we usually see after the halving takes place is a small period of stagnation followed by the majority of the rally into the cycle top. But with price being at ATHs, the cycle may have been shortened to form a cycle top at the end of this year instead of 2025,” the expert noted. 

Furthermore, the analysis hinted at the likelihood of more positive price action in Bitcoin’s future, defying earlier predictions. In this case, the prospect of an accelerated cycle top raises questions about the underlying factors driving Bitcoin’s current surge and the sustainability of its upward trajectory.

As it stands, Bitcoin seems to have shrugged off the potential fallout from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which initially threatened to drive the cryptocurrency below the $60,000 mark. However, despite experiencing short-term gains, Bitcoin continues to trade within a range established over the past month.

Indeed, these gains coincided with a surge in activity on the Bitcoin blockchain following the introduction of the Runes protocol. This protocol enables the minting of digital tokens atop the Bitcoin blockchain. The launch of Runes sparked a notable uptick, resulting in a noteworthy increase in Bitcoin transaction fees.

Bitcoin price analysis

By press time, Bitcoin was trading at $66,202, gaining by about 1.75% in the last 24 hours. On the weekly timeframe, BTC is down about 0.3%. 

Bitcoin seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold

In conclusion, as Bitcoin exhibits a short-term bullish inclination, the primary focus for the cryptocurrency will be to sustain its price above the $65,000 support level. This level is crucial as it serves as a significant anchor in the journey toward reaching the $70,000 milestone.

Disclaimer: The content on this site should not be considered investment advice. Investing is speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.

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