Investing in a single company goes against one fundamental principle of investing — diversification. Regardless, not everyone can afford to diversify, or they may want to outperform the S&P 500 with a single stock.
If I were to choose a single stock, it would undoubtedly be Tesla. This year alone it has outperformed S&P 500 with a 153% return to investors and I believe it’s not done yet.
Tesla is the biggest EV producer
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is the largest electric vehicle (EV) producer in the world, holding a global market share of 22% from around 4.5 million EVs sold since its inception.
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In 2022, every three in 20 cars sold were electric, and half of them sold in China. By the end of this year, some 14 million EVs will be sold, which is a 35% increase from the previous year, based on the International Energy Agency (IEA) projections. This number includes plug-in hybrids.
To boost sales in the largest EV market, Tesla recently cut the prices of its Model S and Model X cars in China both for its standard versions built in China and its premium versions built abroad.
Tesla is more than a car company
Aside from an array of electric vehicles, Tesla also earns revenue from its supercharging network, its full self-driving (FSD) software, which alone costs $12,000 per car, as well as its battery storage products, which grew over 220% year-over-year in Q2.
With its AI machine learning capabilities and already being far ahead with the FSD tech, Tesla can implement its knowledge into another field: robotics.
The Tesla Bot, known as Optimus, is a humanoid robot designed to solve the labor crisis. This is one of the company’s priorities as Elon Musk said in a product roadmap in 2021.
Musk estimates that the Optimus demand could be as high as 10 to 20 billion units, which would account for the majority of Tesla’s long-term value.
Analysts sentiment is mixed
TipRanks analysts don’t share my optimism. They have a ‘hold’ rating based on 28 ratings in the past 3 months. With the ‘hold’ camp outnumbering the ‘buy’ camp at 12 to 11.
Their combined average price target is $270 for the next 12 months, or 1% below the current market price of $273.
Adam Jonas, a Morgan Stanley analyst, upgraded the stock on September 11, with a price target of $400, the most bullish price target in the past few months. On September 12 Tom Narayan from RBC Capital reiterated his ‘buy’ rating for the stock with a 12-month price target of $400.
I’m picking the Tesla stock as a long-term play, beyond 12 months. Any dip to $200 and especially $100 would be an excellent buying opportunity for me.
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Disclaimer: The content on this site should not be considered investment advice. Investing is speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.