Nio’s (NYSE: NIO) February deliveries report showcased strong year-over-year (YoY) growth of 62.2% as the electric vehicle (EV) maker shipped 13,192 cars during the month.
Though the increase from the same month in 2024 is nothing short of remarkable, NIO’s stock market performance hardly reflected its success. Indeed, between early February 2024 and press time on March 20, 2025, the EV company’s shares dropped 6.68% to their latest closing price of $5.17.
On March 21, a different catalyst is set to come into play, though it is unknown if it would prove bullish or bearish: the fourth quarter (Q4) earnings report.
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Given the relative stock market weakness, business growth, and uncertainty, Finbold examined the Wall Street analyst consensus to discover whether investors would be wise to take advantage of the likely earnings volatility or whether steering clear is the savvy choice.
Analysts forecast NIO stock price
Unfortunately for traders, the expert consensus for Nio shares is inconclusive, per the data Finbold retrieved from the stock analysis platform TipRanks on March 20.
Overall, NIO stock is considered a ‘hold,’ with five out of seven analysts rating it as such. The remaining two are equally divided between ‘buy’ and ‘sell’ ratings. The average price target is likewise less than insightful, as it predicts a 0.77% rally to $5.21.
Analysts revise Nio stock price target
Furthermore, the most recent reassessments are relatively inconclusive. Specifically, there have been only two in 2025 – one in early January and the other in early February – and both have set their recommendation at ‘neutral.’
Still, some insight can be gained from the fact that both revisions were downgrades from a previous ‘buy’ rating. On January 7, HSBC lowered its forecast from $7.20 to $4.50, while on February 4, JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM) set its sights on $4.70.
Lastly, some insight can be gained from the fact that Wall Street is forecasting a greater loss per share on March 21 – $0.42 in Q4, while in Q3, it came in at $0.36 – and from NIO stock’s 4% pre-market crash on Thursday morning.
On the flip side, the extended session downturn could also be inconclusive as the EV maker’s momentum has, otherwise, been positive in recent trading. Nio shares soared 18.31% in the last 30 days and are, overall, 13.63% up in 2025.
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