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Wall Street vs. ChatGPT-4o: 1-year price targets for Microsoft stock

Wall Street vs. ChatGPT-4o: 1-year price targets for Microsoft stock
Aneena Alex

Microsoft corp (NASDAQ: MSFT) has been on a remarkable growth trajectory, largely driven by strategic investments and acquisitions. A key factor in its recent success is its partnership with OpenAI, which has propelled MSFT stock to nearly double its value since late 2022, coinciding with the AI boom.

In early 2024, Microsoft achieved the milestone of becoming the world’s largest company by market cap. This period also saw the introduction of new Copilot+ devices leveraging ChatGPT-4o, aimed at expanding “Copilot beyond a personal assistant” to automate business processes and offer tailored solutions for unique business needs.

Microsoft reported a 17% revenue increase to $61.85 billion and a 20% rise in adjusted EPS in the fiscal third quarter. 

The Intelligent Cloud segment grew by 21%, with profits up 32% to $12.51 billion, capturing a 25% market share. 

Bing’s market share also improved to 3.64% as of April 2024. Furthermore, Microsoft partnered with UAE AI firm G42 to invest $1 billion in a data center in Kenya, expanding cloud-computing services in East Africa.

Given these robust financial results and strategic initiatives, Microsoft shares continue to record steady price increases.

At the time of publication, Microsoft was trading at $423.85, showing a 13% year-to-date increase. With a market cap of $3.15 trillion and robust financial performance, the stock’s future outlook varies based on market conditions.

MSFT year-to-date price chart. Source: Finbold

Overall, attention remains on how MSFT will perform in the coming months as it navigates market dynamics. 

In this line, Wall Street analysts and OpenAI’s most advanced artificial intelligence (AI) tool, ChatGPT-4o, have offered insights into where the stock might be headed in the next 12 months.

ChatGPT-4o Microsoft stock prediction 

Considering the above factors, ChatGPT-4o presented three potential scenarios for Microsoft stock over the next 12 months. In a bullish scenario, Microsoft’s stock could reach $500 (+18%), driven by AI expansion, strong cloud demand, and successful AI product integration.

Microsoft stock price prediction. Source: ChatGPT-4o

In a moderate scenario, MSFT could hit $450 (+6%) with steady growth despite competition and regulatory challenges, assuming balanced market conditions. 

In a bearish scenario, increased competition, regulatory hurdles, and economic slowdown could drop the stock to $380 (-10%), with setbacks in AI adoption and new product launches further pressuring the stock.

Wall Street Microsoft stock prediction 

According to a consensus of 33 Wall Street analysts compiled over the last 3 months, the outlook for Microsoft’s stock is largely positive.

 The average price target is $493.56, which represents a 16.45% increase from the current price of $423.85.

Wall Street 12-month Microsoft stock prediction. Source: Tipranks

On the bullish end, the high forecast is $600, indicating a potential increase of 41.5%. Conversely, the low forecast is $450, suggesting a modest gain of about 6%.

Analyst recommendations are predominantly positive, with 32 advising to buy the stock, while 1 recommends holding.

Both Wall Street and ChatGPT-4o present an optimistic outlook for Microsoft stock, driven by the company’s strategic initiatives and strong financial performance.

While the predictions vary, they generally align on the potential for continued growth, highlighting Microsoft’s strong position in the market amid ongoing AI and cloud-computing advancements.

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