Although Bitcoin (BTC) managed to surge past $122,000 over the weekend, nearing its all-time high, it slid 2.31% on Tuesday, August 12 ahead of the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) release.
Weighing in on the drop, leading on-chain analyst Ali Martinez noted that the asset tends to dip ahead of CPI and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports, but that it often “rallies right after the data drops.”
To see how Bitcoin might react to market changes in the coming months, Finbold consulted OpenAI’s new ChatGPT-5 chatbot regarding potential BTC price targets for the end of 2025.
BTC price prediction
Considering Bitcoin’s current price of $118,550 and factors such as analyst projections and technical indicators, the artificial intelligence (AI) came up with four potential scenarios for the cryptocurrency.
In the most likely scenario, ChatGPT predicts, Bitcoin could trade anywhere between $140,000 and $200,000 if institutional demand continues, backed by moderate macroeconomic tailwinds and historical halving impact. This implies an 18.6%–69.5% upside.
In more optimistic market environments, however, the AI suggested that crypto could hit the $200,000–$250,000 range (a potential 69.5%–111.9% upside), backed by both aggressive institutional accumulation and retail adoption.
The most bullish scenario, the one implying outlier major macroeconomic shifts favoring the stablecoin and unprecedented adoption, could see the crypto surge 111.9%, going past the $250,000 mark.
Conservative outlooks, on the other hand, imply a target price range between $118,000 and $140,000, which still implies a potential upside of 18.6% compared to the current price.
Prompted to give a specific target within a tighter range, the LLM said the world’s largest cryptocurrency would trade at $175,000 at the close of December 31, 2025.
Bitcoin price analysis
At press time, August 12, BTC was trading at $118,550, down 2.31% in the previous 24 hours, but up 3.37% in the last month.
Its 90-day correlation with the NASDAQ sits at 0.72, highlighting its sensitivity to macro swings. The Altcoin Season Index, however, has slipped to 31, suggesting capital is being redirected toward BTC.
Institutional demand for Bitcoin is likewise surging. For instance, on August 11, Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) continued its buying spree with another 155 BTC ($18 million), while Nakamoto Inc. shared plans for a $762 million purchase. In total, spot BTC ETF inflows went past $150 billion last week.
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