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XRP price prediction as world’s first spot ETF goes live

XRP price prediction as world's first spot ETF goes live
Paul L.

Summary

⚈ Brazil launched the world’s first spot XRP ETF (XRPH11), potentially boosting XRP’s global profile.
⚈ AI models predict XRP could reach between $4 and $8 by the end of 2025, depending on market conditions.
⚈ Technical analysis shows XRP holding key support levels, suggesting a bullish continuation if it breaks out.

Following the launch of the first spot XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF), two artificial intelligence (AI) models are predicting the asset could surpass $5 by the end of 2025.

Brazil introduced the world’s first spot XRP product, XRPH11, which began trading on April 25 on B3, the country’s main stock exchange. Created by Hashdex and administered by Genial Investimentos, Genial Bank provides XRPH11’s custody services.

After an extensive pre-operational phase, Hashdex secured approval from Brazil’s Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM) earlier this year.

The launch of XRPH11 is expected to impact XRP’s price trajectory in 2025, generally. Historically, spot ETFs have provided strong long-term support for cryptocurrencies by expanding access to institutional investors.

Although Brazil’s financial market is smaller than those in the U.S. or Europe, being first to market could attract significant international attention to XRP.

To determine how the product might impact the price of XRP, Finbold turned to ChatGPT and xAI’s Grok AI model for price prediction. 

AI predicts XRP price 

ChatGPT projects that XRP could reach $3.50 to $4.50 by the end of 2025 under normal bullish conditions. In a stronger scenario, with more countries launching XRP ETFs and rising global crypto demand, the asset could hit $6 to $8.

However, the AI model noted that if macroeconomic conditions worsen or new regulatory hurdles arise, the price could fall back to a range between $1.5 and $2. ChatGPT views $4 as a realistic target, nearly 80% above current levels.

On the other hand, Grok AI offered a similar outlook with more detailed probabilities. In its bullish scenario, XRP could reach $8, driven by strong inflows into XRPH11, U.S. ETF approvals, Ripple’s expanding partnerships, and Bitcoin surpassing $120,000. 

Grok’s base case sees XRP at $4.50, assuming moderate success in Brazil, U.S. ETF approvals by late 2025, and Bitcoin reaching $100,000. 

In its bearish scenario, XRP could dip to $2.00 if the ETF launch underperforms and macroeconomic pressures persist, although Brazil’s ETF launch and Ripple’s legal wins could offer some price support.

Grok XRP price prediction. Source: Grok

From a technical perspective, cryptocurrency trading analyst Alek’s analysis shows that XRP is currently trading between a major support zone of $1.95 to $2.08. The token is exhibiting resilience as it moves within a descending channel pattern, often recognized as a bull flag. This pattern typically signals a potential continuation of the broader bullish trend.

XRP price analysis chart. Source: TradingView

According to the analyst, a decisive upward move from the current structure could dictate XRP’s next major move. A breakout above the channel would likely confirm bullish momentum, while a failure to hold support could lead to further downside.

XRP price analysis

At press time, XRP was trading at $2.19, down 0.14% over the last 24 hours. On the weekly chart, the asset is up 5%.

XRP seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold

At its current price, XRP is slightly below its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $2.22, indicating minor short-term weakness, but it remains well above the 200-day SMA of $1.916, confirming that its long-term bullish trend remains intact.

Featured image via Shutterstock

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