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Analyst warns SpaceX stock breakout amid valuation concerns

Analyst warns SpaceX stock breakout amid valuation concerns
Steve Muchoki

As Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ: SPCX) stock opened Monday, July 13, at a new lower low since hitting the all-time high (ATH), analysts at TrendSpider, an AI-powered market analysis platform, signaled a bearish outlook.

In an X post on 12, the platform noted that the SpaceX stock price chart could be in the early phase of breaking out of a descending triangle. The analyst at TrendSpider argued that SPCX stock has fallen below the horizontal support of the falling wedge, signaling a downtrend.

SpaceX stock price chart. Source: TrendSpider

After closing Friday trading at $145.30, SpaceX stock traded around $143.77 during Monday’s pre-market trading session. As such, sellers of SPCX stock have been outnumbering existing buyers, thereby increasing post-IPO (Initial Public Offering) selling pressure.

The analyst supported the bearish technical breakout by citing the company’s low revenue relative to its market capitalization. Notably, SpaceX recorded $18 billion in revenue and a market capitalization of approximately $1.9 trillion at press time.

Meanwhile, the analyst argued that Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) posted revenue of $747 billion in 2025 and had a market cap of about $2.6 trillion at the time of reporting.

Wall Street’s SpaceX stock price forecast 2026

Despite the near-term bearish outlook for SpaceX stock, 27 Wall Street analysts surveyed by TipRanks have set an average price target of $245.96 over the next 12 months. The majority of these analysts assigned a Buy rating for SpaceX shares, thus the average ‘Strong Buy’ rating.

SpaceX stock price forecast. Source: TipRanks

Although the company’s midterm technicals have signaled a potential further correction, Wall Street analysts have pointed out its strong fundamentals. For instance, the company was added to the Nasdaq-100 index, which tracks the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on Nasdaq.

Additionally, SpaceX’s AI ventures, including its recently acquired Cursor, have helped the company attract investors seeking exposure to AI stocks. As such, SpaceX stock could rebound in the long haul, fueled by increased revenue from its AI segment.

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