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Crypto community with 82% historical accuracy sets Bitcoin price for March 31, 2022

Crypto community with 82% historical accuracy sets Bitcoin price for March 31, 2022
Justinas
Baltrusaitis
Updated: 11 Mar, 2022
3 mins read

Following Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price dip below the $40,000 mark, the cryptocurrency community at CoinMarketCap predicts that the asset will trade at nearly $50,000 by the end of March.

With over 90% of Bitcoin in circulation, its inflation rate notably dropped to 1.7% on March 10, five times lower than the US dollar (USD), positioning BTC as a viable inflation hedge to investors.

Moreover, Bitcoin’s recent average daily trading volume surpassed Apple’s (NASDAQ: AAPL) by about 60%, illustrating its steadily increasing adoption amid large-scale geopolitical tensions.

As a result, the CoinMarketCap crypto community believes the asset will rally over 22% from the current price to trade at $48,099 by March 31. The target is based on votes by 83,890 members.

Crypto community’s BTC price projection. Source: CoinMarketCap

Elsewhere, 53,233 community members are putting the target at $48,958 by the end of April. This price mark represents a growth of almost 24% from the current value. However, by the end of May, 34,122 community members believe Bitcoin will trade at $46,945.

The crypto community currently has a historical accuracy rate of 82% on Bitcoin price projections. 

Crypto community’s Bitcoin price prediction historical accuracy rate. Source: CoinMarketCap

The projection emerges after Bitcoin entered into March trading above the crucial $40,000. However, the first week of the month can be categorized as highly volatile for the asset whose price movement correlated with the struggling stocks. 

By press time, Bitcoin was trading at $39,337, up 0.74% but down 4.90% across the last seven days with a total market cap of $746.6 billion as of March 11, 2022.

Bitcoin 7-day price chart. Source: CoinMarketCap

Bitcoin hits extreme fear

Although the community is remaining bullish on the future of Bitcoin, there are still concerns among investors regarding the next course of the asset. For instance, as of March 11, the Bitcoin fear and greed index hit 22. 

Such levels usually imply an “extreme fear” in the market, an indicator investors might be too worried, and the market could see a recovery. Elsewhere, reading around 60 usually signals greed in the market, highlighting an opportunity for an impending correction.

Bitcoin fear and greed index. Source: Alternative.me

Overall, Bitcoin and the general crypto market volatility remains a dominant factor in the wake of impending regulatory concerns, especially with United States President Joe Biden expected to sign an executive order later this week.

The order will offer a roadmap for the government on cryptocurrencies, but it appears to be taking a toll on cryptocurrencies.

The rest of the month will also continue testing Bitcoin’s status as an inflation hedge. Worth mentioning is that Bitcoin has reacted negatively to the Federal Reserve’s efforts to tackle rising inflation. 

Notably, Bitcoin remaining highly volatile has come amid the broader market sell-off with ongoing unprovoked Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Therefore, the next course of the war will likely play a role in Bitcoin’s price movement

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Justinas Baltrusaitis
Author

Justin crafts insightful data-driven stories on finance, banking, and digital assets. His reports were cited by many influential outlets globally like Forbes, Financial Times, CNBC, Bloomberg, Business Insider, Nasdaq.com, Investing.com, Reuters, among others.

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