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Microsoft stock price prediction as ‘death candle’ hits

Microsoft stock price prediction as ‘death candle’ hits
Ana Zirojevic

After a massive global IT outage, which brought multiple industries to a standstill on July 19, troubles have continued for Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) stocks, the price of which has steadily declined since and has recently even demonstrated a ‘death candle’ on its chart, signalling more difficulties.

Indeed, MSFT stock has manifested a ‘death candle,’ which usually refers to a sharp and substantial downward price movement indicating a bearish sentiment in a single trading session, according to the candlestick chart shared by market analytics platform Barchart in an X post on July 30.

MSFT stock price candle chart. Source: Barchart
MSFT stock price candle chart. Source: Barchart

Microsoft stock price analysis

Specifically, Microsoft stock plunged from $425 to $390, albeit later recovering to $394, and currently, its price stands at $397.40, recording an 8.51% decline on the day, an accumulated drop of 5.86% across the week and a loss of 10.16% on its monthly chart, as per data on July 31.

Microsoft stock price 1-week chart. Source: Finbold
Microsoft stock price 1-week chart. Source: Finbold

So, why is Microsoft stock down today? Notably, MSFT shares tumbled in after-hours trading after MSFT earnings showed slightly slower-than-expected growth of the company’s artificial intelligence (AI) powered business, Azure, which could be one of the explanations as to why Microsoft stock is down.

Microsoft stock price technical indicators

For the moment, MSFT stock is demonstrating a decent yet not ideal technical setup, doing great in the long-term trend and still being fine in the medium-term time frame, but its very recent movements are negative, trading in the lower end of the last month’s range.

Furthermore, its support currently resides between $397.58 and $404.93, whereas resistance ranges from $432.74 to $446.12. Its short-term (5, 10, and 20) simple moving averages (SMA) are all moving in the negative direction, with the 50, 100, and 200 SMA still in the green.

Technical indicators for MSFT stock price. Source: TradingView
Technical indicators for MSFT stock price. Source: TradingView

What’s next for Microsoft stock?

On the other hand, finance experts sharing their Microsoft stock price prediction targets in the last three months remain unanimously optimistic that MSFT shares will make a massive recovery, rating them as a ‘strong buy’ and making an average forecast of $509.42 for the next 12 months.

Wall Street’s 12-month Microsoft stock price prediction. Source: TipRanks
Wall Street’s 12-month Microsoft stock price prediction. Source: TipRanks

All things considered, time will tell whether the ‘death candle’ is truly a portent of bearish price movement continuation or the stock market analysts’ confidence is justified in the Microsoft stock price prediction. Regardless, doing one’s own research is critical when investing.

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