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Semiconductors sell-off on recession fears – AMD and Nvidia bounce off 52-week lows

Semiconductors sell-off on recession fears - AMD and Nvidia bounce off 52-week lows
Dino Kurbegovic

The U.S. Conference Board reported on June 28 that the consumer confidence index fell to 98.7 in June, down from 103.2 in May, as the June figure missed an earlier market estimate of 100. 

As a result of this news, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) shares hit their 52-week lows, rebounding slightly throughout the trading sessions.

Meanwhile, the broader semiconductor market continued to sell- off on worries of a global recession and weakening demand from consumers. Yet, a recent semiconductor industry outlook report by Deloitte signaled to investors that the semiconductor industry will grow 10% in 2022. 

According to, analysts like Columbia Threadneedle’s, Dave Egan, the semiconductor index (SOX semiconductor index) could double in the next couple of years. 

NVDA chart and analysis 

Moreover, shares of NVDA are down 48% year-to-date (YTD), with the 52-week low now possibly serving as the support line for the share price. Trading volumes have been steady throughout June, with the price remaining below all daily Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). 

NVDA  20-50-200 SMA lines chart. Source. Finviz.com data. See more stocks here.

On the other hand, analysts rate the shares a strong buy, predicting that the average price in the next 12 months could reach $266, 71.15% higher than the current trading price of $155.42.

Wall Street NVDA analysts’ price targets for NVDA. Source: TipRanks

AMD chart and analysis 

Similarly, AMD shares are down 48% YTD, also trading below all daily SMAs on steady trading volumes. Further, the new trading range for the shares seems to be between the 52-week low of $76 and $92.  

AMD  20-50-200 SMA lines chart. Source. Finviz.com data. See more stocks here.

Consequently, analysts rate the shares a moderate buy, predicting that in the next 12 months, the shares could trade at $134.33, 72.24% higher than the current trading price of $77.99.

Wall Street AMD analysts’ price targets for AMD. Source: TipRanks

Despite the recent slump in semi-stocks, there is enough evidence pointing at the fact that it is just a matter of time before these stocks surge. Yet, rising inflations and rising interest rates, as well as global macro events seem to be pointing in a completely different direction, possibly warning investors of more downside to come. 

Nevertheless, long-term investors could potentially find solid entry positions in these two tech names if their risk appetites can stomach the possibility of more volatility in the near term. 

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