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XRP price prediction as 400 million tokens are unlocked from escrow

XRP price prediction as 400 million tokens are unlocked from escrow

The price of XRP has been under scrutiny for mainly remaining in a consolidated phase amid the ongoing legal battle with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple

Beyond the potential influence of the legal outcome, the XRP community is considering other fundamental factors, including the prospect of an exchange-traded fund (ETF). This comes after Ripple’s CEO, Brad Garlinghouse, expressed openness to an XRP ETF, which could positively impact the asset’s price.

Meanwhile, as attention remains on the next price trajectory, significant on-chain transactions have emerged, potentially affecting the XRP’s overall trajectory. In particular, on February 25, Whale Alert data revealed the unlocking of 400 million XRP (approximately $217.5 million) from escrow at Ripple.

It’s worth noting that Ripple’s escrow process involves monthly releases of one billion XRP, with a portion being sold. Currently, Ripple holds around 40 billion XRP tokens from escrow, scheduled for release over the next 42 months. 

This scheduled monthly release increases the circulating supply, potentially exerting downward pressure on the price, especially when combined with Ripple’s practice of selling a portion of these tokens.

XRP price prediction 

At the same time, crypto analyst Alan Santana, in a TradingView post on February 24, revisited his earlier assumption that XRP might not experience as severe a correction as other cryptocurrencies due to its correction over the past six months. However, he admitted that this expectation has proven to be inaccurate.

Santana identified a significant up-trend line on the XRP chart, established based on candle closes since 2020. He emphasized that a break below this trendline could have severe consequences for XRP, potentially signaling a bearish trend.

XRP price analysis chart. Source: TradingView

A major concern highlighted by the analyst is the rejection at key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) โ€“ EMA10, EMA21, and EMA50 โ€“ on a weekly basis. While XRP moved above these levels last week, a rejection this week is considered a failed signal, with Santana noting that such a rejection holds twice the significance of a normal signal.

The trading expert adopted a bearish perspective, suggesting a potential 35% drop in the XRP price. He also issued a cautionary note, indicating that the situation could worsen.

XRP price analysis

By press time, XRP was trading at $0.55, experiencing daily losses of less than 0.1%. On the weekly chart, XRP has declined by over 2%.

XRP seven-day price chart. Source: Finbold

In terms of technical indicators, bullish sentiments prevail for XRP. One-day gauges retrieved from TradingView show a summary aligning with a ‘buy’ sentiment at 10. This sentiment is mirrored in moving averages at 8, while oscillators indicate a ‘neutral’ stance at 8.

XRP technical analysis chart. Source: TradingView

While general market sentiments influence the prospects of XRP, the asset is also likely to be impacted by the outcome of the ongoing legal case. The legal proceedings have progressed beyond the discovery stage, with both parties working on their remedies-related briefs. 

Critical upcoming deadlines include March 13, when the SEC is expected to file remedies-related briefs; April 12, the deadline to submit motions opposing remedies proposals; and April 29, the final deadline for remedies submissions.

Disclaimer: The content on this site should not be considered investment advice. Investing is speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.

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