Crypto trading expert alias @ChartNerd has predicted further weakness for XRP relative to Bitcoin (BTC) in the near future.
On May 25, this technical analyst predicted that the XRP/BTC ratio could drop further, potentially retesting its historical outperformance zone. Precisely, this analyst estimates the XRP/BTC ratio may crash by more than 57% to retest 0.0000073, a level that proved to be a robust support in 2024.
With this pair having been rejected at a crucial supply level around 0.000029 throughout 2025, this analyst believes a capitulation to its multi-year support level in the coming weeks could be imminent. Furthemore, the XRP/BTC pair recently dropped below its 20-weekly Modified Exponential Moving Average (MEMA), which has historically confirmed strong bearish momentum.
“XRP has been underperforming Bitcoin since 2017, with no signs of any major rotation. In fact, over the last 3 months, BTC has climbed from 60,000 to 80,000 while the XRP/BTC pair has lost its 20 MEMA. Back to green,” @ChartNerd noted.
As such, this analyst believes investors could accelerate the rotation of this token into Bitcoin over the coming months. However, based on historical trends, this analyst has identified the fourth quarter as a crucial time to watch for a possible rotation into XRP, as the altcoin could strengthen against BTC.
Key factor that could accelerate XRP sell-off against Bitcoin
The ongoing weakening of XRP relative to Bitcoin could accelerate after the United States passes the Clarity Act – a proposed U.S. federal regulation aimed at legalizing crypto assets. Moreover, the passage of the Clarity Act could catalyze a sell-the-news narrative, further fueling bearish sentiment on a falling market.
Additionally, the liquidity outlook on Binance, the largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has continued to worsen, dropping to its lowest level since January 2020, based on metrics from CryptoQuant. Consequently, XRP could continue to weaken against BTC until demand for altcoins increases, possibly triggered by regulatory clarity in the United States.
