Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) has kicked off 2025 on a weak note, with its stock down over 14% year-to-date, trading at $103.73 at press time.
Although the company surpassed Wall Street expectations on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue during its Q4 and FY 2024 earnings call on February 4, the upbeat results were overshadowed by a significant miss in data center revenue, which fell short of analysts’ forecasts.
This disappointment added to ongoing concerns, as AMD continues to face softer demand for personal computers and increased competition in the AI chip market.
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AI predicts AMD’s price trajectory for April
Amid this uncertainty, Finbold’s AI-powered prediction tool has provided an updated outlook for AMD’s stock performance heading into April 2025.
Based on technical indicators and prevailing market trends, the models forecast an average AMD stock price of $179.48, representing an 80.01% gain from its price at the time of prediction, which stood at $99.71.
While the overall outlook is bullish, the forecasts show varying levels of optimism. The most positive prediction comes from Claude 3.5 Sonnet, which sees AMD surging by 119.09% to around $218.74 within the prediction timeframe.
Meanwhile, GPT-4o presents a more cautious outlook, forecasting a 45.42% increase, translating to a price of $144.91. Interestingly, this projection aligns with recent projections from technical analysts, who had previously outlined a case for AMD stock to rally toward $148, echoing the bullish forecasts from AI models.
AMD market outlook
Despite broader headwinds, AMD is gaining strong momentum in its GPU segment, where recent data highlights a notable shift in market dynamics.
According to Tom’s Hardware, AMD’s latest Radeon RX 9070 series has captured a commanding 45% share of Japan’s gaming GPU market, giving AMD a solid foothold in the region and positioning it as a serious challenger to Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), which has long dominated the space.
The company’s client segment, which includes its popular Ryzen processors for desktops and laptops, has also shown steady growth. In 2024, AMD expanded its desktop CPU market share by 27% and grew its laptop CPU share to 24%, driven by strong product performance.
A major catalyst ahead is Microsoft’s (NASDAQ: MSFT) planned phase-out of Windows 10 in October 2025, which is widely expected to trigger a large-scale PC upgrade cycle and further strengthen AMD’s client segment.
Beyond its consumer segment, AMD’s primary growth engine continues to be its data center business. While Nvidia still remains as a key player in the AI and data center markets, AMD’s MI300X GPUs have attracted major clients, including Meta (NASDAQ: META) and Microsoft.
Moreover, AMD is set to sample its next-generation MI350 GPUs with key customers this quarter, with production expected to ramp up by mid-year, potentially fueling further growth.
On top of strong fundamentals, technical indicators highlight a favorable risk-to-reward (R/R) setup for AMD stock. Analysts view the recent pullback as a strategic buying opportunity, with projections suggesting AMD could rally toward $320 in the next major uptrend if current momentum holds.
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