Dogecoin (DOGE) has kicked off the week on a positive note, climbing as much as 1.5% on Monday, November 24. The uptick appears to be the result of the upcoming Grayscale DOGE ETF set to go live on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) later today.
While there is no guarantee the fund will attract substantial inflows, the recently launched Rex-Osprey fund (DOJE) hit six times the average day-one volume. In other words, short-term price movements and rally-conducive hype are possible.
Furthermore, the optimism has been sufficient to negate any negative sentiment generated by the news that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) was reportedly disbanded. While the department and the crypto were only associated coincidentally, via their names, both have a strong connection with Elon Musk, Dogecoin’s biggest supporter.
To see how the ongoing political developments and new institutional moves might affect the original meme coin, Finbold asked OpenAI’s most powerful chatbot, ChatGPT-5, where Dogecoin might stand price-wise by the end of 2025.
ChatGPT predicts Dogecoin price for the end of 2025
Synthesizing the competing forecasts and analyzing the meme coin’s current price action, the artificial intelligence (AI) places Dogecoin’s most realistic 2025 year-end price in the $0.20–$0.30 range.
According to the AI’s reasoning, the base-case scenario assumes the broader crypto market is gearing up for a moderate rally in the next few weeks. That is, Dogecoin is not likely to witness a rally based purely on hype if the industry proves weak as a whole.
A stronger-than-expected crypto cycle, a scenario that requires both crypto market tailwinds and meme-driven hype, could lift the token toward $0.35–$0.50. Conversely, a downturn caused by low institutional demand, ETF stagnation, and an overall cryptocurrency slump could push it into the $0.05–$0.10 zone.
Dogecoin price action
At press time, Dogecoin was trading at $0.14, having gained 1% over the previous 24 hours ahead of the Grayscale ETF launch set to give retail investors access to 11.1 million DOGE, worth roughly $1.5 million.
As was the case with the Rex-Osprey fund in September, traders see the ETF as a major step in legitimizing the asset. The ETF analyst Nate Geraci, for instance, called the approval a “monumental crypto regulatory shift.”
“Some (many) might laugh, but I actually view this as a highly symbolic launch. IMO, best example of *monumental* crypto regulatory shift over past yr,” wrote Geraci on X.
Nonetheless, the bullish narrative is not without its obstacles. Namely, DOGE posted a bounce off the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.1502, supported by a Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 35.09, nearing “Oversold” territory.
Likewise, the token continues to trade below both its 30-day simple moving average (SMA) of $0.171 and its 200-day SMA of $0.208. At the same time, the MACD histogram reads -0.000975, showing momentum remains negative.
In sum, the rally seems to be powered primarily by ETF optimism, but the somewhat weak technicals cast doubt on whether the momentum can hold.
Featured image via Shutterstock
