Solana (SOL) is trading lower during Tuesday’s market pullback, prompting renewed interest in 2025 SOL price predictions and long-term upside potential. To assess whether Solana could hit a new all-time high, Finbold consulted OpenAI’s ChatGPT-5 to see what the token’s odds are of hitting another record by the end of the year.
At the time of writing, SOL was changing hands at $137.83, down 2.89% on the day and nearly 17% on the weekly chart.
Compared to its record price of $294.33 recorded in January this year, however, the asset is down almost 55%.
Will Solana hit a new all-time high?
The model pointed out that the broader crypto trend points to caution, given that the market has been somewhat jittery in the past couple of months. That is, Solana would require a major influx of bullish catalysts, such as exceptional institutional demand and favorable regulatory developments, to break above its previous peak.
Despite the launch of three Solana ETFs this week, typically a bullish catalyst in prior altcoin cycles, SOL price action remains subdued.
Major network updates, ChatGPT argued, could help offset some external pressure. However, the algorithm was not convinced that any substantial changes would be announced in the following weeks.
Accordingly, while the potential for a sharp sentiment reversal always exists, based on current liquidity trends, ETF flows, and technical positioning, the AI model assigns a 10–30% probability of Solana reclaiming its all-time high in 2025, a scenario it classifies as “possible but not the most likely outcome.”
What the Solana traders are saying
While the AI model is not very convinced that Solana could break new ground this year, its probability range is still noticeably higher than the odds Solana enthusiasts are giving the asset.
Indeed, the market believes there’s only a 6% chance of a new SOL ATH by December 31, according to the cryptocurrency-based prediction website Polymarket.
The falling optimism appears to be the result of a weakening technical picture. Namely, Solana is now below several key levels, including its 7-day simple moving average (SMA) of $142.75 and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of $145.28.
Similarly, the seven-day relative strength index (RSI) sits at 19.09 (deep oversold territory), while the daily trading volume is up 72% at press time ($9.23 billion), signaling panic-driven selling.
Technically, $145.28 presents itself as the first stepping stone for a potential bounce. On the other hand, failure to hold above $129 could open the door for a new 2025 low.
Featured image via Shutterstock
