With Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ: SPCX) set to report its first earnings as a publicly traded company on August 4, over 1.37 billion shares of SpaceX stock are scheduled to unlock on August 6, 2026
Two days after the company’s earnings report, 20% of locked-up SpaceX stock, representing about 911.5 million shares, will enter the tradable float, according to the S-1 filing. An additional 10% tranche, which is around 455.8 million SpaceX shares, may also unlock on the same date only if the stock trades at least 30% above the $135 IPO price for at least 5 of the 10 consecutive trading days ending on and including the earnings release date,
As SPCX traded at about $128.97 on July 21, the upcoming August 6 unlock wave is valued at more than $175 billion at press time. A further 7%, amounting to 319 million SpaceX shares, valued at approximately $40.8 billion, is scheduled to unlock around August 21.
Later on September 10, the company will release 7%, or about 319 million shares, also valued at $40.8 billion at the time of reporting. Currently, 555 million shares, or about 5% of the 13 billion SpaceX shares, are available in the public float.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk’s 6.4 billion SpaceX shares remain subject to a separate extended lock-up until June 2027, with no early release provisions.
What’s the impact of upcoming unlocks on SpaceX stock price?
The upcoming SpaceX stock unlocks could increase selling pressure amid more than a 36% selloff since the all-time high (ATH).
However, SpaceX has received a bullish long-term projection from Wall Street analysts, as Finbold reported. Nonetheless, with the company’s quarterly earnings forecasts still unknown, SpaceX stock could face heightened volatility in the near term fueled by the upcoming share unlocks.
