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Why Nvidia (NVDA) stock is soaring

Why Nvidia (NVDA) stock is soaring
Paul L.
Stocks

Nvidia’s (NASDAQ: NVDA) share price is rebounding, with eyes on the $140 resistance as investors react positively to the company’s promising production developments.

As of press time, NVDA’s stock was valued at $135.48, up almost 4% in the last 24 hours. On the weekly timeframe, the equity is down a modest 0.60%. 

Indeed, the current rebound is welcomed, considering the semiconductor giant briefly dipped below the $130 support zone during the December 17 trading session.

NVDA one-day stock price chart. Source: Google Finance

Driver of NVDA’s stock rally

The short-term rally stems from an industry analysis report by market intelligence platform Trendforce, which indicated that the production of Nvidia’s Blackwell NVL/GB200 system is progressing as expected. 

Initially, there were concerns about the next-generation chip after it faced delays due to cooling and heat control issues.

In the report, Trendforce indicated that mass production of this system is set to peak between the second and third quarters of 2025, contributing to a bounce in Nvidia shares.

However, the report warned that the 2024 Blackwell figures will likely fall short, citing supply chain issues, but anticipates a possible ramp-up during the first quarter of 2025 and beyond. 

“The production of Blackwell GPU chips is progressing largely as expected, with only limited shipments in 4Q24. Production volume is anticipated to ramp up gradually from 1Q25 onward. However, as components of the AI server system are still undergoing supply chain adjustments, 2024 year-end shipments are expected to fall short of industry expectations,” the platform noted.  

Notably, Blackwell chips are expected to be a major cash flow driver for the company as it seeks to sustain its dominance in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector.

To this end, Wall Street analysts remain bullish on the company. For instance, as reported by Finbold, Citi analyst Atif Malik reaffirmed Nvidia’s ‘Buy’ rating with a $175 price target, addressing the GPU vs. ASIC debate by stating that both will coexist, highlighting CUDA’s advantage for GPUs.

He forecasts a $380 billion AI accelerator market by 2028, with GPUs holding a 75% share.

Additionally, on December 16, Truist Securities’ William Stein gave Nvidia a ‘Buy’ rating, raising the price target from $169 to $204. 

In keeping up with the bullish outlook, Danish Saxo Bank also estimates that Nvidia could more than double its valuation before the end of 2025 to become the first $7 trillion firm.

What next for NVDA stock price

Nvidia’s stock recently experienced a sharp correction, particularly when other chipmakers benefited from Broadcom’s (NASDAQ: AVGO) strong quarterly outlook, fueling speculation that its AI-driven surge might be waning. This sell-off was largely due to an antitrust investigation by Chinese authorities. 

There’s also a growing concern that Nvidia’s reign in the AI sector could be at its peak, with smaller competitors possibly gaining ground. 

Despite the current market conditions, NVDA can target new highs if the technology firm achieves the projected success with the Blackwell chips. This will be pivotal in maintaining its AI market dominance.

Featured image via Shutterstock

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