XRP is on the verge of a potential breakout, with analysts highlighting critical levels that could shape its trajectory toward $5.85.
Notably, an analysis by Dark Defender on December 31 highlights that XRP is trading within a descending triangle pattern on the daily time frame, a technical setup often associated with significant breakouts.
Key support and resistance levels for XRP
The analysis highlights $1.95 as a critical support level within the descending triangle pattern, which has provided a solid foundation for XRP amidst recent market volatility.
Picks for you
Dark Defender suggests that as long as this level holds, XRP is well-positioned for an upside breakout. If the breakout materializes, immediate resistance levels are anticipated at $2.22, $2.72, and $2.90, with a long-term projection extending to $5.85.
Furthermore, a “throwback” scenario could also occur, where the price briefly retests the breakout level before surging higher. This retest would serve as additional confirmation for traders seeking to enter long positions, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
However, failure to sustain the $1.95 support could significantly alter the current narrative. In such a scenario, XRP might revisit lower support levels at $1.88 or even $1.63, potentially invalidating the bullish projection.
This would likely shift market sentiment to bearish, delaying any recovery attempts and adding pressure to the broader outlook.
Regulatory and market forces in play
Beyond technical analysis, key regulatory and market developments are shaping XRP’s outlook. Former President Donald Trump’s nomination of Paul Atkins, a pro-crypto advocate, as the incoming SEC Chair is widely viewed as a positive catalyst.
This move is anticipated to resolve the legal uncertainties surrounding Ripple Labs, potentially marking the end of Ripple’s legal battle with the SEC, which has persisted since 2020.
Adding to the optimism is the timing of the SEC’s appeal, scheduled for January 15, 2025, just days before Trump’s inauguration.
Market participants are increasingly hopeful that a resolution could pave the way for a more favorable regulatory environment for Ripple, including the potential approval of a spot ETF for XRP in 2025. Such a development would serve as a significant catalyst for XRP’s long-term growth
However, despite this optimistic outlook, XRP faces immediate headwinds. The token is at risk of slipping below the $2 psychological barrier, primarily due to increased selling pressure and broader market dynamics.
Ripple Labs’ escrow system, which releases 1 billion XRP tokens into circulation on the first day of each month, is expected to further contribute to this pressure by increasing the token supply.
XRP price analysis
At press time, XRP was trading at $2.12, reflecting a 27% drop from its December 2 high of $2.71.
Despite this setback, the token has delivered an impressive year-to-date (YTD) gain of 258%. Adding to the optimism, XRP has risen 5.8% on the daily chart, hinting at a potential recovery amid ongoing market volatility.
While regulatory developments bring optimism, the token’s near-term trajectory remains uncertain, with key market dynamics and supply-side factors adding complexity to XRP’s outlook.
Featured image via Shutterstock
