The price of Cardano (ADA) is showing recovery in line with the general cryptocurrency market, but whale activity is signaling possible volatility in the coming days.
ADA was trading at $0.75 as of press time, surging over 11% in the last 24 hours. However, the decentralized finance (DeFi) asset is down 20% on the weekly chart.
Notably, ADA and other digital currencies have shown strength since President Donald Trump agreed to pause the 25% tariff imposed on Canada and Mexico for a month.
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Amid this market volatility, on-chain data indicates that whale investors have dumped over 330 million ADA in recent weeks, according to data shared by prominent on-chain cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez in an X post on January 4.
This massive sell-off coincided with a steep decline in ADA’s price, raising concerns among investors about the cryptocurrency’s near-term trajectory. Notably, despite ADA’s sharp dip in recent days, these whales have refrained from buying back at lower levels, signaling potential caution in the market.
AI predicts ADA price
Typically, such moves point to the possibility of an asset dropping in value. To this end, Finbold turned to its artificial intelligence (AI) tool to determine how ADA might trade in the short term, specifically on February 28.
The AI tool, leveraging several models, set an average price target of $0.83, suggesting a possible 9.2% increase.
One of the bullish outlooks omitted from OpenAI’s Chat GPT-4o, which predicted ADA would surge to $0.95, a 25.4% jump. This bullish outlook is attributed to strong upward momentum, supported by ADA’s position above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
Another forecast comes from Claude 3 Opus, which anticipates a rise to $0.92, marking a 21.4% increase. This projection highlights the influence of a bullish “golden cross” between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages. However, it notes the market remains cautiously optimistic, with potential volatility still a factor.
On the more conservative side, ChatGPT-4o Mini predicts ADA could dip to $0.62, representing an 18.6% decrease. While it acknowledges some positive momentum, this forecast reflects a less optimistic view of short-term market dynamics.
Meanwhile, GPT-3 Mini projects have climbed moderately to $0.81, a 6.2% increase.
ADA technical indicators
Looking at the ADA chart setup, an analysis by pseudonymous cryptocurrency analyst BullishBanter highlighted the token’s path to the $1 mark.
In an X post on February 4, the analyst pointed to Cardano’s recent dip to $0.75 as a potential turning point, with the liquidity sweep signaling a “Change of Character” (ChoCH) and a possible shift in market structure.
The move taps into a high-liquidity zone, setting the stage for a reversal toward the $0.95 to $1.10 resistance range, supported by price imbalances and structural highs. For bulls to take control, ADA must reclaim $0.85 to $0.95 as support. Failure to do so risks renewed selling pressure below $0.75.
While ADA price remains below the 50-day SMA of $0.964543, it is above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $0.620169, indicating a longer-term bullish trend.
The relative strength index (RSI) of 36.63 suggests ADA is slightly oversold, offering a possible buying opportunity. Market sentiment is mixed, with bearish signals contrasting a high Fear & Greed Index score of 72 (Greed).
Featured image via Shutterstock
