Skip to content

Bitcoin price forecast: Brace for sub-$50k crash, $140 billion at Risk

Bitcoin price forecast: Brace for sub-$50k crash, $140 billion at Risk

As Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) inflows pushed the Bitcoin (BTC) price above the $50,000 mark and Bitcoin halving on the horizon, there are indications that another price correction may be imminent. 

As the TD Sequential indicator suggested, this potential correction could be significant, with a projected reduction of around -10% for the leading cryptocurrency.

Specifically, the TD Sequential indicator has recently signaled a sell on the 3-day chart for Bitcoin. It’s worth noting that when this indicator signaled bearish conditions in previous instances, BTC experienced a price correction of approximately -10%, as highlighted in a post on X by cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez on February 21.

Bitcoin's price chart with TD sequential indicator. Source: Ali Martinez
Bitcoin’s price chart with TD sequential indicator. Source: Ali Martinez

This would mean a considerable reduction in maiden crypto’s market cap, which recently surpassed the $1 trillion mark.

Implications from a slump in Bitcoin price and possible cause

Given its prominent position in the cryptocurrency market and its interdependency with various altcoins, a potential -10% correction in Bitcoin’s price could result in substantial reductions. 

Specifically, this correction would decrease BTC’s market capitalization by approximately $138 billion. Consequently, the total market capitalization would shrink to $865 billion, with Bitcoin’s price correcting to around $45,000.

This potential slump in price can explained by that despite Bitcoin’s remarkable price increase of 74% over the past four months, the typical crowd fear of missing out (FOMO) often associated with such surges has been notably absent. 

While there was undoubtedly heightened interest in BTC in the weeks preceding and following the SEC’s approval of 11 ETFs, the absence of new greed within the space can be interpreted as expecting a further price increase.

Metric of interactions on social networks regarding BTC. Source: Santiment
Metric of interactions on social networks regarding BTC. Source: Santiment

Bitcoin price chart

At the time of press, Bitcoin price today is trading at $51,023, reflecting a decline of -3.39% over the past 24 hours. This adds to the losses sustained throughout the week, totaling -1.26%. These recent declines contrast with the impressive gains of 25.02% achieved over the past month.

BTC 24-hour price chart. Source: Finbold
BTC 24-hour price chart. Source: Finbold

Despite recent outflows and price reductions, technical indicators are unfazed, granting the flagship cryptocurrency a ‘buy’ rating based on 13 evaluations. Moving averages are even more optimistic, signaling a ‘strong buy’ rating in 12 instances. Meanwhile, oscillators indicate a ‘neutral’ rating in 8 cases.

Technical indicators for BTC. Source: TradingView
Technical indicators for BTC. Source: TradingView

Only time will reveal whether TD Sequential’s sell sign proves accurate again or if Bitcoin defies this technical indicator and soars to new highs.

Disclaimer: The content on this site should not be considered investment advice. Investing is speculative. When investing, your capital is at risk.

Best Crypto Exchange for Intermediate Traders and Investors

  • Invest in cryptocurrencies and 3,000+ other assets including stocks and precious metals.

  • 0% commission on stocks - buy in bulk or just a fraction from as little as $10. Other fees apply. For more information, visit etoro.com/trading/fees.

  • Copy top-performing traders in real time, automatically.

  • eToro USA is registered with FINRA for securities trading.

30+ million Users
Securities trading offered by eToro USA Securities, Inc. (“the BD”), member of FINRA and SIPC. Cryptocurrency offered by eToro USA LLC (“the MSB”) (NMLS: 1769299) and is not FDIC or SIPC insured. Investing involves risk, and content is provided for educational purposes only, does not imply a recommendation, and is not a guarantee of future performance. Finbold.com is not an affiliate and may be compensated if you access certain products or services offered by the MSB and/or the BD

Read Next:

Finance Digest

By subscribing you agree with Finbold T&C’s & Privacy Policy

Related posts

Sign Up

or

By submitting my information, I agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms of Service.

Already have an account? Sign In

Services

Disclaimer: The information on this website is for general informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. This site does not make any financial promotions, and all content is strictly informational. By using this site, you agree to our full disclaimer and terms of use. For more information, please read our complete Global Disclaimer.