The Chinese stock market has been on a decisive downward trajectory for more than a year, with the major indices for the Hong Kong, Shenzhen, and Shanghai exchanges dropping between 22% and 30% in the last 52 weeks.
The market, however, made a sharp turn on Tuesday, January 23, as reports that the Chinese government is preparing a stabilization package worth more than $200 billion.
The strongest reaction to the news came from the technology and e-commerce giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA), which is not only notable as one of China’s most-recognizable stocks but also for a $4.3 million bet Michael Burry, the ‘Big Short’ investor who famously predicted the 2008 crash, made on it.
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What of Burry’s 50,000 BABA shares?
While best known for his past ability to predict a massive market crash, Burry’s investment in Alibaba has been ill-timed, according to data available up to January 24.
The famous investor acquired as many as 50,000 BABA shares in the third quarter of 2023, paying approximately $86.74 for each share.
After the stock purchase, Alibaba continued trading with a significant level of volatility and continued on its overall downward trajectory.
While it, for a time, appeared to have entered into a slight recovery in early Q4, hopes for a quick recovery got slashed when it dropped 9% in a single day in mid-November after Jack Ma, its founder, expressed his intent to sell $10 million worth of stock.
In many ways setting the results of 2023 in stone, the news that Alibaba is making significant changes to its structure – with a particular focus on cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) technology – failed to rattle the company’s shares.
By December 31, 2023, Burry lost approximately $500,000 on the Alibaba purchase, and by January 24 – even after a significant 24-hour rally for BABA – his loss on the $4.3 million investment is about $600,000.
BABA price analysis
While Alibaba has been having a bad time on the stock market in 2023 – falling 38.03% in the last 52 weeks – and in the first three weeks of 2024 – dropping 0.99% since January 1 – the news of the Chinese government plans might have finally reversed the trend.
Indeed, Alibaba stock rallied an impressive 7.85% – up to $74.02 – on Tuesday, the latest full trading day, from its Monday closing price of $67.7. Additionally, BABA is still rising in the extended hours trading leading towards Wednesday and is up another 1.51% by the time of publication.
Still, it is important to remember that, as of the latest available reports, the Chinese government is not yet fully set on making the $200 billion stock market injection and depending on its final decision – or its indecision on the matter – Alibaba might still experience significant volatility.
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