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Could Tesla’s stock bounce back? New data from a crucial indicator says yes

Could Tesla's stock bounce back? New data from a crucial indicator says yes
Elmaz Sabovic

The EV industry has been hit hard by various challenges, impacting production and demand and leading to bankruptcies and struggling companies. Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), as a major player in this industry, has also suffered significant setbacks.

In 2024 alone, Tesla’s stock has declined by a troubling 36%, making it one of the worst-performing stocks in the S&P 500 and the ‘Magnificent Seven’ group.

Despite the recent downturn, a particular technical indicator is showing promise. Historically, when Tesla’s weekly Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) has fallen to 30 or below, indicating oversold conditions, it has often signaled the TSLA stock’s bottom, followed by a recovery. 

Now, this indicator is approaching this threshold for the fourth time, hinting at a potential upward trend for Tesla shares.

TSLA stock RSI indicator and price chart. Source: TrendSpider
TSLA stock RSI indicator and price chart. Source: TrendSpider

What do other technical indicators predict for TSLA stock?

According to technical analysis, TSLA’s stock price is expected to remain flat in the coming days, possibly with a short-term bearish reversal. Momentum is currently neutral, but there are signs that it could swing either way. 

Traders should closely monitor the MACD Histogram for potential trend reversal cues and watch for any significant breakout from the Bollinger Bands to confirm a new trend direction.

In summary, although the short-term outlook may suggest a bearish trend, investors are advised to proceed cautiously and wait for more precise signals from technical indicators before making any major trading moves.

Recent lay-offs and slashing prices in the wake of Q1 earnings

Following its first year-over-year decline in vehicle deliveries since 2020, Tesla is set to cut over 10% of its global workforce. According to its latest annual report, this translates to at least 14,000 of the 140,473 employees. 

This announcement adds to a series of setbacks for Tesla. The company recently fell short of delivery estimates before its quarterly earnings on April 23, and earlier in January, it projected a slowdown in sales growth as it prepares to launch its next-generation vehicles.

Moreover, Tesla has reportedly scrapped plans for an affordable Model 2 priced at around $25,000, shifting its focus to a new Robotaxi initiative while also having issues with Cybertruck deliveries and production.

Whether fundamentals or technicals will manage to dictate the narrative for Tesla stock remains to be seen, with the picture becoming clearer after its Q1 report.

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